So here’s what’s happening:
- Mike Pence was in South Korea last week.
- The leaders of Japan and China are on the phone.
- The entire Senate is being briefed, and…. something about Merkel being briefed, too.
In other words– all three countries surrounding Best Korea either are verging on supporting President Trump’s next action (something involving a vote from congress), or already agreed to look the other way.
Same goes for the EU, UN, NATO.
All of congress needs to vote to declare war, not just a handful of representatives from various committees; otherwise, the entire senate wouldn’t need to be briefed together.
Where does this fit in the whole “99D Underwater Chess” scheme that President Trump executes so well?
10D Super Saiyan Satellite Chess:
Well, the first thing to note is that for this congressional meeting:
Spicer said that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky, was the one who convened the meeting.
Mitch McConnell, a neoconservative, is not on the Trump Train. This means the all-important meeting isn’t that important; Trump isn’t calling it himself. McConnell simply wants an update on what the President (through his interactions with China’s, Japan’s, and Germany’s leaders) and Vice-President (fresh from South Korea) have been doing, while at the same time making it seem very, very dire.
He’s bleating the war drum here.
THIS IS A HUGE DEAL, BECAUSE IT AUTOMATICALLY CHANGES THE INTERPRETATION! THE ROLE OF MCCONNELL IS NOT SHOWN IN OTHER MORE REPUTABLE ARTICLES, LIKE THIS ONE FROM REUTERS!
It’ll be good for the media headlines (they can print more articles), good for the Senators (“Look at how we’re standing between a madman and a literal WW3!”), and somewhat good for Trump (“They still think I’m dumb? Ha!”). But this isn’t necessarily Trump’s intention – it’s just how he’s playing it out.
While the neoconservatives in Congress may want to declare War, Trump will (obviously) advocate for an increase in sanctions, with the UN pulling its weight:
“The status quo in North Korea is also unacceptable and the council must be prepared to impose additional and stronger sanctions on North Korean nuclear and ballistic missile programs,” Trump said.
It was a campaign promise of his all along, and this is actually already an acceptable historical military response from the President.
And while Trump was conversing with the leaders of Japan and China specifically over North Korea, the same was not asked of Vladimir Putin. Instead, Merkel was contacted?
Why Trump Phoned Merkel:
As for Merkel, her push for the EU alliance is nearly breaking. Should France elect Le Pen, the EU will be finished. Should France not elect Le Pen, there could be extreme violence from those who feel that Le Pen was robbed of her vote (after the next impending terrorist attack), or from those emboldened by Macron’s win (from the refugees). Trump offered Merkel a way out, that was heavily misconstrued by the media. He gave her a chance to take his deal on favorable, but fair terms, a concession which won’t come lightly again.
His later call to Merkel was with regards to their historical reunification model. The idea was “Could North Korea be remodeled as Germany was after the fall of the Berlin Wall?”
It’ll never happen, logically.
South Korea’s Dresden Doctrine is destined to fail because it is based on the German example of reunification. There is plenty of bad blood, not only between the South Koreans and the North Koreans, but between the Chinese, the Japanese, the South Koreans, the North Koreans, the Iranians, and Russia.
North Korea will defend its sovereignty at all costs, and wish to make demands upon the South Koreans. South Korea will wish to defend their sovereignty at all costs, and wish to make demands on the North Koreans. China and Japan will each want a piece of the pie, and Russia will want its due for backing both China and North Korea (especially the coal imports).
It’ll be a trade war, a hot/cold conflict, sweet and sour no matter how it’s sliced.
This is because Putin is backing Syria at the moment, and is allies with Iran. Iran is allied with North Korea regarding Nuclear Proliferation, thanks to the Iran Deal. Russia is also helping North Korea with their coal problem after China cut off their former “ally” upon the diplomatically insulting death of King Jong-Nam.
If we are gearing up towards the wholesale dissolution of North Korea, it’ll clearly be over the resulting natural resources that North Korea is in possession of. The region is insanely valuable to anyone but Dear Leader, since there’s never enough electricity to actually mine any of the minerals within. This is why he can’t turn his country into an isolationist one just yet.
According to the North Korean Mining Laws And Regulations Handbook (which is apparently a thing):
Coal, iron ore, limestone, and magnesite deposits are larger than other mineral commodities. Mining joint ventures with other countries include China, Canada, Egypt, and South Korea. China is North Korea’s leading trade partner for minerals (twenty mining projects reported), followed by South Korea and Brazil.
So if Russia wasn’t consulted per se on North Korea by Trump’s phone calls, then it’s not about impending war, because to launch an attack like that, to declare war without consolidating a plan with one of your major allies (with equal vetoing power in the UN Security Council) would destroy US-Russian Relations literally forever. It would be worse than Hitler’s betrayal to Stalin.
Speaking of the devil, Russia is a lifeline to the Stalinist regime of Kim Jong-In, ever since the 1950s. Best Korea is the last frontier of Cold War geopolitics. Russia is currently providing fuel and expertise in transportation, as well as troops; services North Korea cannot do without, especially in light of China reducing imports to the hermit kingdom by half.
So ignore everything you read about “Kim Jong-un said this“, “Kim Jong-un said that” – it’s nothing more than virtue-signalling, fear-mongering bullshit. No matter how respectable the “source” is (if you’re even given a name). There’s simply no reason for anyone to actually information on Kim Jong-un’s mental status, even if there are American spies in North Korea.
What Trump has done with his personal phone calls to China and Japan (but not to Russia, where Putin met with Tillerson instead – and on a different issue of Syria’s airstrike) is that they’re figuring out how to deal with Kim Jong-Un’s Three-Generational Death Camps.
Why Trump Phoned China and Japan:
If you thought Muslim economic migrants were bad, imagine 25 – 30 million North Korean refugees (actual refugees), whom have known nothing but harsh labor their entire lives. Most will be functionally illiterate, and will not adapt to the economies of South Korea, China, Japan, or Russia. Desperate for salvation, many will flood Eastern Europe (just like the economic migrants flooded Western Europe), bringing down economies in their wake. Obviously, like Merkel’s Islamic economic migrant crisis, which was spurred on by her purposeful destabilizing of the BND (Germany’s answer to the NSA), there will be treasonous traitors within China, Japan, and Russia, who help the North Koreans to travel on their journey.
Japan used to have a defensive military thanks to the Yoshida doctrine (which ensured that the US would protect them during the Cold War). It was part of the Pacific Theatre concessions brokered right after WW2.
“We regard ourselves as a declining power. The idea, is for example, [is] the ability and know-how [for the] Maritime Self-Defense Force [to defend] a US ship deployed in a Japanese flotilla; it may be possible to defend a US ship when an attack on that ship does not directly or will not directly threaten Japan’s security. But technically even that is not allowed,” Michishita said.
Which doesn’t mean China or North Korea will be particularly happy with the arrangement. Both nations will likely see this as adding to the power projection capabilities of the US in the region, despite insistence from the official that the new guidelines were not written to target any specific country.
Previously they where prevented from deploying armed troops offshore and could only use armed units when Japan itself was attacked. Now they can send troops into combat outside of Japan to aid an allied nation.
What this overall means is that should America launch a “pre-emptive attack” against North Korea, or Iran, or Russia, then Japan and South Korea will aid America. China still has to be persuaded that an alliance with America is in their long-term interests.
Historical American-Japanese Relations:
The interesting thing is that Japan had a similar crisis nearly 70 years ago after they lost the Second World War. Japan at that time was under the rule of an Emperor (Hirohito), and all its inhabitants believed in something called “Kamikaze”. “Kamikaze” is like “Jihad”, in that the former translates to “god’s wind” or “divine wind” (which usually ended in a suicide attack), and the latter translates to “holy struggle” or “a crusade for one’s struggle or belief”. This also tends to end in suicide attacks. The only reason the internment camps for the Japanese are considered “evil” nowadays is because liberals have downplayed just how terrible inhabitants of Japan were in conducting warfare.
The soldiers fought for the Emperor, whom they believed to be a literal god, and many Japanese soldiers who refused to believe that their God-Emperor had been defeated spent decades still fighting a war that was already over.
Hiroo Onada spent 3 decades holed out in the Phillipines. Shoichi Yokoi was discovered on the island of Guam in 1972. Teruo Nakamura was discovered 1974 on Morotai Island, Indonesia. It wasn’t just a war to the soldiers of Japan, it was means of validating everything they’d been raised to know.
Unlike in Germany, where the Allies had in May 1945 abolished the German state, the Americans chose to allow the Japanese state to continue to exist, albeit under their ultimate control. Unlike Germany, there was a certain partnership between the occupiers and occupied as MacArthur decided to rule Japan via the Emperor and the most of the rest of the Japanese elite. The Emperor was a living god to the Japanese people, and MacArthur found that ruling via the Emperor made his job in running Japan much easier than it otherwise would have been.
The first thing he did was to decimate their military prowess, removing all their samurai swords, and in doing so, remove their warring culture.
Look at all those weapons being rounded up, family heirlooms, a removal of the past, and the way of the Samurai. This allowed the next generation to start fresh, which is why lots of Japanese are simply “lost”, with little heritage in the nation they’ve grown up in. The flipside (the American counterpart) would be “weeaboos”. It’s ultimately why Westerners “value” Samurai swords – it’s become a fetish at this point.
Then again, in Japan, what isn’t?
The reason Japan seems so weird nowadays to outsiders is because the Japanese Government after the war had to forgo much of their original culture, and instead adopt a fusion of deep Western and superficial Eastern ideals (whereas previously, the opposite was true). It’s ultimately why every famous company from Japan nowadays is essentially American-run (with a Japanese façade). They may have originated prior to WW2, even before the turn of the century, but their goals, and motivations changed after Gen. MacArthur was allowed to root out anything anti-American.
Japanese business principles were replaced with American business principles. When American businessmen run Asian companies, they’ll use American processes to ensure profitability, while adapting the culture of their country’s location.
Lean management and Six Sigma are two concepts which share similar methodologies and tools. Both programs are Japanese influenced, but they are two different programs. Lean management is focused on eliminating waste and ensuring efficiency while Six Sigma’s focus is on eliminating defects and reducing variability.
Economics was to be concentrated upon to reconstruct Japan’s domestic economy while the security alliance with the United States would be the guarantor of Japanese security. The Yoshida Doctrine shaped Japanese foreign policy throughout the Cold War era and beyond. That agreement that allowed their economy to stay intact and protected them from most of the regular repercussions of losing a war in return for becoming the US foothold in east Asia as china and company was pretty Communist and working with the USSR. But it prevented them from ever having to come to terms with or even having to acknowledge that mass amounts of war crimes and crimes against humanity they committed in WWII.
All this was after the Philippines Campaign (which lasted until 1945), especially since the Japanese had occupied the Philippines during the war.
This is essentially the crux of the Pacific Theatre of WW2.
Japan has a history of being the violent invaders, from the invasion by Hideyoshi in the samurai era, to the pirates before and after that. This connotation is actually laid out in the WW2 “MacArthur Constitution”.
General Douglas MacArthur had in fact helped supply the Philippine resistance effort with weapons, support, and aid during the Japanese occupation – his visit after the surrender of Japan was two-fold.
- Figure out the extent of Unit 731’s atrocities as they related to the occupation.
- Ensure that any remnants of Japanese radicalism were removed.
For those unaware, Unit 731 was the counterpart to Nazi Doctor Joseph Mengele’s experiments. For example, the cure for frostbite was found be repeatedly freezing prisoner-of-war’s bodyparts, and then bringing them up to room temperature. Much knowledge was gained regarding germ warfare, there were even vivisections on prisoners (essentially live autopsies) to figure out how the human body would handle it.
What Gen. Douglas MacArthur did was to clandestinely round up all this information, while also ensuring military trials for war criminals:
MacArthur was responsible for confirming and enforcing the sentences for war crimes handed down by the International Military Tribunal for the Far East. In late 1945, Allied military commissions in various cities of the Orient tried 5,700 Japanese, Taiwanese and Koreans for war crimes. About 4,300 were convicted, almost 1,000 sentenced to death, and hundreds given life imprisonment. The charges arose from incidents that included the Rape of Nanking, the Bataan Death March and Manila massacre.
He did good work (essentially providing the backbone to Operation Paperclip, as well as MK ULTRA, and the entirety of the intelligence community’s “counter-culture” work in the 50s, 60s, and 70s).
Then, after he returned from America’s occupation of Japan and the restoration of the Philippines (which ensured that for at least one generation, America would be their puppet master), he was abruptly dismissed from his post.
Later historians, such as Robert Smith, contend that, “[c]rudely, deliberately, with complete understanding of what would ensue, MacArthur undertook to sabotage Truman’s effort, in March 1951, to open peace negotiations with the Chinese (and that) no one not blinded by hero worship could overlook the arrogance and contempt with which MacArthur deliberately flouted Truman’s directive.” (MacArthur in Korea, 1982, p 155).
He was leading the rebellion on behalf of South Korea against China / North Korea. And he was winning.
When North Korea invaded South Korea in June 1950, starting the Korean War, he was designated commander of the United Nations forces defending South Korea. He conceived and executed the amphibious assault at Inchon on 15 September 1950, for which he was hailed as a military genius. However, when he followed up his victory with a full-scale invasion of North Korea on Truman’s orders, China intervened in the war and inflicted a series of defeats, compelling him to withdraw from North Korea.
Basically, he was dismissed because Truman thought that North Korea’s downfall was enough. MacArthur believed that you couldn’t separate the Communism / Soviet mission of Europe from that of China (and Gen. MacArthur was correct). The Communist efforts weren’t just relegated to China or Europe, but also towards Latin America and the Caribbean.
What happened in the 60s and 70s between the CIA and the Soviets was to essentially globetrot to various countries just breaking out of their colonial mold (such as the Soviet-Afghan War, lasting from 1979 to 1989, the Indo-Pakistan War of 1971, the Iran-Iran War of 1980-1989, the 1954 Guatamalan Coup (of the Soviets by the CIA), The Democratic Republic of the Congo in the mid-1960, and virtually everything that happened in Southern Africa, etc.
President Truman’s “error” in removing the pragmatic General led to the continuation of the Cold War far longer than it had to originally be. We see shades of this with Gen. Mattis, who successfully identified that Osama was hiding in the Tora Bora Caves. Mattis was denied the opportunity, which led to a much later death nearly a decade later.
So why is this all important? Because it leads us up to today – China is inherently communist, with the façade of Capitalism hanging over its head. Japan and China are “allies” but definitely not friends. Both have much to gain, and will do so at each other’s expense. Trump stepping in ensures a fair negotiation will take place, ending the North Korea drama long after it started, and not a second longer than it has to be.
A negotiation led by Trump (who makes the best deals, believe me), is a means of ensuring ultimate servitude (usually at both parties benefit). When dealing with Tony Schwartz, ghostwriter of “The Art of the Deal”, who’d betrayed his trust, Trump said:
“That’s your right, but then you should have just remained silent. I just want to tell you that I think you’re very disloyal. Without me, you wouldn’t be where you are now. I had a lot of choice of who to have write the book, and I chose you, and I was very generous with you. I know that you gave a lot of speeches and lectures using ‘The Art of the Deal.’ I could have sued you, but I didn’t.”
Trump is essentially thinking beyond an immediate war to figure out the (obvious) geopolitical ramifications before it’s even commenced. The neoconservatives will throw every excuse to go to war at the wall, hoping one sticks, betraying former tribal alliances in the Middle East (as has always been done historically). They don’t care for the aftermath, because it’s not of their concern. What’ll happen (under neoconservatism) is a withdrawal too soon (before the infrastructure has been laid), a inevitable power vacuum, and the rise of a former ally-turned-enemy. This will indeed destabilize the region even further, and we’ll be dragged into another war.
With Trump, the neoconservatives will use the excuse of being in another “Iraq” to vote him out of the 2020 elections, and the excuse of another “Libya” to vote out any friends he has in congress (Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, etc).
Trump, realizing this, is thinking like Sun Tzu:
“Every battle is won before it’s ever fought.”
Under any other president, we’d be at war with Russia (over a no-fly zone in Syria), or at war with North Korea (“this barbaric treatment has gone on too long!“), or over ISIS (“they’re in over 32 countries, and in all 50 states!”).
Given that China has aggressively expanded into building man-made islands in the South China Sea, and has aligned with the Philippines (who still do not trust the Japanese), and has a problem with ISIS (due to their Uyghur muslim minority population), deciding exactly how it will all play out is very, very important.
Nimble navigation indeed.
Sometimes, it really does feel as if Trump is the only adult in the room.
UPDATE (July 3, 2017):
The United States and Japan are united in their efforts to clamp down on North Korea’s “growing threat,” as the regime ramps up its nuclear drive and other belligerent efforts, the White House said Sunday.
During a phone call, President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe “reaffirmed that the United States-Japan Alliance stands ready to defend (against) and respond to any threat or action taken by North Korea”, the White House said in a statement.